“Architects becoming more cautious over future workloads” – RIBA Future Trends Survey


Dezeen Wire: 
the latest RIBA Future Trends Survey has shown that the majority of architects in the UK anticipate a decline in workload over the summer, particularly in the private housing sector.

The survey reports that London practices remain the most optimistic about future workloads, but that architects in the north of England and Northern Ireland expect a downturn in the coming months.

See past RIBA Future Trends Survey results here.

Read the full report from the RIBA below:


RIBA Future Trends Survey results for June 2012

The Royal Institute of British Architects (RIBA) Future Trends Workload Index for June 2012 stands at +2, significantly down from +13 in the previous month. The positive upward trend that had been recorded this year has seen a reverse this month with architects becoming more cautious over future workloads.

The outlook across the UK remains mixed, with London the most optimistic region at +19, while the North of England and Northern Ireland at -19 and -25 respectively are the most pessimistic over levels of work for the next quarter.

The key element in the reduction in overall workload confidence is the private housing sector forecast which stands at -1 for June 2012, down from +16 in May 2012.

RIBA Director of Practice, Adrian Dobson said:

“Private housing has up until now remained the most resilient sector, supported by interest rates at historic lows, so the sharp decline in confidence for June could be a cause for concern if it continues.

“Unease about the private housing sector is driving down confidence amongst small practices. It may be a reflection of greater competition for housing work as other sectors continue to remain challenging, or an early indicator that the private housing sector is set to decline. The second scenario would strengthen calls from UK Construction for a more effective Government backed fiscal stimulus plan.”

Although the 2012 RIBA / Fees Bureau Employment and Earnings survey has shown some increase in architects’ earnings, the RIBA Future Trends Staffing Index for June remains consistent at -2 and we are yet to see any recovery in overall staffing levels.

In addition to the static staffing level, June 2012 saw the percentage of respondents reporting that they had personally been underemployed rise from 20% in May 2012 to 27%.

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“Upward trend for architects’ workloads continues” – RIBA Future Trends Survey


Dezeen Wire:
 the latest RIBA Future Trends Survey shows that the workload index for UK architects has seen a significant increase compared to this time last year.

Improvements were reported in the housing, community and public sectors, whereas the commercial sector saw a slight decline.

See past RIBA Future Trends Survey results here.

Here is the report from the RIBA:


RIBA Future Trends Survey results for May 2012

The upward trend for architects’ workloads, which started at the beginning of the year, continues to grow according to the latest results from the Royal Institute of British Architects’ (RIBA) Future Trends Survey.

The Future Trends Workload Index for architects for May 2012 stands at +13, compared with +2 at the same time last year. Large practices with 51 or more staff are the most optimistic about future workloads, reporting a balance figure of +29. Across the UK, most regions reported encouraging workload forecasts, with the only exceptions being Scotland (0) and Northern Ireland (-14).

Across sectors, housing improved by a single balance point to +16, the commercial sector dropped two points to +4, and the community sector forecast saw a two point rise to -7. The public sector forecast saw a significant advance and now stands at -8, compared to -14 in April 2012.

Speaking about the public sector rise, RIBA Director of Practice, Adrian Dobson said:

“This month’s results may be an indication that public sector workloads are beginning to stabilise now that the initial cuts in public sector capital programmes have filtered through. They may also reflect a growing belief that the Government is going to introduce some new fiscal stimulus, which could include additional expenditure on public sector construction.”

The RIBA Future Trends Staffing Index for May 2012 remains stable and is virtually unchanged at -1. In May 2012, 20% of respondents to the survey stated that they had personally been under-employed in the last month. This is the best figure recorded since the RIBA Future Survey began in January 2009 and is further evidence that the economic outlook for architects may be gradually improving.

The latest quarterly data series from the survey has also shown how overall student employment has decreased by 40% since 2008, revealing that the recession has impacted disproportionally upon those architects in the early stages of their careers.

“Confidence concerning future workloads is now reasonably stable” – RIBA Future Trends Survey


Dezeen Wire:
the Royal Institute of British Architects‘ Future Trends Survey for January indicates that larger architecture practices in the UK are more confident about future workloads than medium and small-sized studios.

The survey also reports that architects in London are more confident than those in the north of England and Northern Ireland that the number of new projects coming in will continue to grow.

See past RIBA Future Trends Survey results here

RIBA Future Trends Survey results for January 2012

The Royal Institute of British Architects (RIBA) Future Trends Survey for January 2012 has revealed that overall confidence concerning future workloads is now reasonably stable. RIBA Future Trends Workload Index for January 2012 stands at -2 rising significantly from -11 in December 2011.

Large practices (51+ staff) are now more confident about future workloads, returning a balance figure of +20, than medium sized practices (11 – 50 staff) with a balance figure of 0 and small practices (1 – 10 staff) with a balance figure of -2. This provides further evidence that workloads are reasonability stable, but also that there is no real sign of significant medium term growth prospects for overall levels of work for architects.

Practices in London are the most optimistic about the future whilst those in the North of England and Northern Ireland remain much more pessimistic about future prospects.

The RIBA Future Trends Staffing Index for January 2012 is -7 compared to -5 in December 2011. Employment levels continue to remain subdued, however it is clear that overall staffing levels have stabilised with practices reporting that permanent staffing numbers remain unchanged from last year.

Adrian Dobson, RIBA Director of Practice, said:

“RIBA practices continue to report a high degree of uncertainty about future workloads and on-going intense fee competition; many remain concerned about fair access to public procurement, with the use of frameworks and turnover thresholds seen as a significant barrier to bidding for publically-funded work for many practices.

“Whilst funding for some major public sector infrastructure projects is being maintained, cuts to mainstream housing, education and health programmes, areas which potentially have a more immediate social and economic benefit appear to be much more extensive. Many RIBA practices continue to question whether a better balance could be struck in terms of current Government capital investment.”

“Private housing sector forecast recovers strongly” – RIBA Future Trends Survey


Dezeen Wire:
The latest RIBA Future Trends Survey shows that the private housing sector is benefiting from all-time low interest rates but overall confidence about future workloads remains low.

A third of architects responding to the survey said they felt under-employed in October, with those in London most optimistic about growth and Scotland and Northern Ireland the least confident.

See past RIBA Future Trends Survey results here.

RIBA Future Trends Survey results for October 2011

The Royal Institute of British Architects (RIBA) Future Trends Survey for October 2011 shows little change in confidence about future workloads. Statistical analysis of the survey enables the RIBA to track regularly the two key indices of confidence within the profession: future workloads and staffing levels.

There was a slight rise in the RIBA Future Trends Workload Index which for October stood at -7, compared with -10 in September 2011. Practices in London remain the most optimistic about growth in workloads over the next three months, while Northern Ireland and Scotlandremain the least confident about future work. As in previous months, it is the smaller (one to 10 staff) and medium (11 to 50 staff) sized practices that are less confident.

The RIBA Future Trends Staffing Index also barely changed: down from -7 in September to -8 in October. No practice – of any size – predicts an increase in staffing in the next quarter. Overall staffing levels had on average declined by 7 per cent from October 2010, which tracks a   reduction of 12 per cent in actual work in progress compared with October 2010.

A third of those responding to the survey felt that they had personally been under-employed during October, a slightly higher percentage than in September 2011.

The public, commercial and community sectors forecasts also saw little or no change. On the other hand, the private housing sector forecast recovered quite strongly, moving from – 5 in September 2011 to +5 in October 2011.

Adrian Dobson, RIBA Director of Practice, said:

“Not unexpectedly, practices continue to describe a challenging and unpredictable state of play, with increased competition for falling levels of public sector work and continuing resistance by banks to lend for development projects. Faced with this uncertain outlook, they are reluctant to recruit new staff.

“But on a more positive note, the bespoke housing sector remains strong, buoyed by all-time low interest rates, and more specialised areas within healthcare and conservation also continue to perform well.”

“Confidence about overall workloads remains fragile” – RIBA Future Trends Survey


Dezeen Wire:
the Royal Institute of British Architects‘ Future Trends Survey for September points to a drop in the number of architectural practices anticipating increased demand for their services.

Unemployment in the industry is also a concern, with fifteen per cent of practices expecting staffing levels to drop and an increased number of architects reporting that they had been unemployed in September.

See past RIBA Future Trends Survey results here.

RIBA Future Trends Survey results for September 2011

The Royal Institute of British Architects (RIBA) Future Trends Survey for September 2011 shows that confidence about overall workloads remains fragile.

The number of practices expecting more work dropped from the previous month. This represents a fall in the RIBA Future Trends Workload Index at -10, down from +2 in August.

The RIBA Future Trends Staffing Index also fell in September, down from -3 in August 2011 to -7. Fifteen per cent of practices expected staff levels to drop, although the number expecting an increase rose slightly. Large practices – those with more than 51 staff – are more inclined to feel able to increase permanent staffing levels over the next quarter than small and medium-sized practices.

The number of architects reporting that they personally had been underemployed during September increased.

Sector forecasts also reflect the challenging conditions facing the profession: 15 per cent of practices expected work levels to grow in the private housing sector and practices, down from August, and practices expecting workloads to decrease in this sector rose to 21 per cent.

Expectation of work in the commercial sector also fell: 21 per cent of practices predicted a decrease, although the number predicting growth remained constant at 16 per cent. The outlook for the public sector workload remained unchanged from August: 29 per cent of practices expected a fall in workload, with 5 per cent predicting an increase.

The statistical analysis of the survey enables the RIBA to track regularly two key indices of confidence within the profession: future workloads and staffing levels. Both fell in September. 2011.

Adrian Dobson, RIBA Director of Practice, said:

“The September results for the Future Trends Survey clearly show that confidence about future workloads overall over the next quarter for UK architects remains fragile, although large practices remain relatively more confident, particularly in the commercial sector, than small and medium-sized practices.

“Although overall demand for architects’ services continues to be very weak in some sectors, anecdotal evidence from the survey suggests that niche markets such as high-end bespoke housing, conservation works and certain healthcare sectors remain resilient.

“Practices based in the South of England remain much less pessimistic than those in other parts of the country, with those in Northern Ireland and Wales and the West currently the least confident about future levels of work.

“If UK economic production continues to stagnate, the Government may introduce some fiscal stimulus in 2012, which may include bringing forward some infrastructure capital spending. This could open up opportunities, for example, for practices with expertise in the transport and energy sectors.”

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“More practices expecting drop in workload” – RIBA Future Trends Survey


Dezeen Wire:
the number of architectural practices expecting more work in the month from July to August saw a drop from 27% to 25% according to the latest Future Trends Survey published by the Royal Institute of British Architects in London.

See past RIBA Future Trends Survey results here.

RIBA Future Trends Survey results for August 2011

The Royal Institute of British Architects (RIBA) has published the latest results of the monthly Future Trends Survey for August 2011.

The number of practices expecting more work in July saw a drop from 27% in July to 25% in August, whilst those expecting a drop in workload rose to 23%.

The RIBA Future Trends Staffing Index remains unchanged at -3 in August 2011, with 9% of practices expecting staff levels to drop (compared to 12% in July) and 6% expecting an increase (compared to 9% in July). 22% of architects reported that they have personally been under-employed in August 2011, a 5% drop from 27% in July 2011.

The sector forecasts remain virtually unchanged this month: the private housing sector saw a 3% rise in the number of practices expecting work levels to grow (25% in August, compared to 22% in July). Practices expecting workload to remain constant in this sector fell from 61% in July to 57% in July. The commercial sector forecast saw little overall change, falling marginally to -2 in August 2011 from -1 in July 2011. The number of practices expecting workload to increase grew from 15% in July to 16% in August; there was no change in the number of practices predicting less commercial work this month, which remained constant at 17%. The outlook for the public sector workload remains the most pessimistic, with no further change to the balance figure of -23. In August, 29% of practices expected a fall in workload, compared to 30% in July; only 5% expected an increase in workload, compared to 6% in July.

The statistical analysis of the survey enables the RIBA to regularly report on two key confidence tracking indices relating to future workloads and staffing levels. For August 2011, the RIBA Future Trends Workload Index is +2 (compared to +5 in July), and the RIBA Future Trends Staffing Index again remains unchanged at -3 in August.

Adrian Dobson, RIBA Director of Practice said:

“Although the RIBA Future Trends Workload Index for August 2011 just remains in positive territory at +2, this represents a fall from +5 in July 2011 and indicates an overall drop in confidence levels this month about future workloads for the UK architects’ profession.

“The RIBA Future Trends Staffing Index is unchanged for the second consecutive month at -3 in August 2011, reinforcing anecdotal evidence of little activity in the employment market for salaried architects.  When asked about how the number of temporary staff employed will change over the next three months our practices where slightly more positive (balance figure +1). 22% of our respondents reported that they have personally been under-employed in August 2011, representing a significant improvement from the July figure of 27%.

“Practices based in London (balance figure +9) remain more optimistic about growth in workloads over the next quarter than those in the rest of the UK. Practices in Scotland (balance figure -13) and Northern Ireland (balance figure -25) are least confident about future levels of work.”

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“Little overall change in confidence levels” – RIBA Future Trends Survey


Dezeen Wire:
the latest Future Trends Survey by the Royal Institute of British Architects reports little change confidence levels among UK architects in the last two months. 

See past RIBA Future Trends Survey results here.

RIBA Future Trends Survey results for June 2011

The Royal Institute of British Architects’ (RIBA) has published the latest results of the monthly Future Trends Survey for June 2011.

The number of practices expecting more work in June remained constant at 26%; those expecting a drop in workload fell from 24% in May to 22% in June. Fewer practices expected a drop in staff levels, falling from 15% in May to 11% in June; 8% of practices expected staff levels to increase, compared to 7% in May. 24% of architects reported that they have personally been under-employed in June 2011, a significant improvement from the figure of 29% returned in May 2011.

The sector forecasts remain virtually unchanged this month. The private housing sector forecast (balance figure +7) remains the most positive with 64% of practices expecting work levels to stay the same, compared to 60% in May; the percentage of practices expecting a reduced workload fell from 17% in May to 15% in June. The commercial sector forecast is neutral (balance figure zero); the number of practices expecting workload to remain constant rose from 60% in May to 69% in June, and 16% of practices predicted less work compared to 21% in May. The outlook for the public sector workload (balance figure -23) remains the most pessimistic, with only 4% of practices expecting a rise in workload (compared to 7% in May); 80% of practices predicted that workload would remain the same, compared to 77% in May.

The statistical analysis of the survey enables the RIBA to regularly report on two key confidence tracking indices relating to future workloads and staffing levels. For June 2011, the RIBA Future Trends Workload Index is +4 (compared to +2 in May), and the RIBA Future Trends Staffing Index is -3 (compared to -8 in May).

Adrian Dobson, RIBA Director of Practice said:

‘The RIBA Future Trends Workload Index for June 2011 is +4, a slight increase from +2 in May 2011, suggesting little overall change in confidence levels this month but remaining in positive territory.

‘Small practices (1 – 10 staff) see the best short term growth prospects in the housing sector, whilst larger practices (51+ staff) predict growth in the next quarter to come mainly from the commercial sector. Medium sized practices (10 -50 staff) see their future growth being in both the housing and commercial markets. No practice size category currently perceives immediate growth opportunities in the community and public sectors. Our practices report that 59% of their current workload involves conservation, refurbishment or adaptive re-use of existing buildings; this illustrates the significant role that work to existing buildings plays in the market for architectural services.

‘In their anecdotal comments, our practices continue to report intense economic pressure, resulting in a very competitive fee environment and evidence of reduced levels of specification for many of those projects which are progressing. Uncertainty of funding in the public sector remains a significant concern. Some conservation specialists noted the negative impact of the changes to the Listed Places of Worship Grant Scheme, which means that VAT can no longer be re-claimed in relation to professional fees on these projects. A number of smaller practices cited the importance of detailed knowledge of local markets and local reputation in maintaining workflows. Some larger practices commented on an increase in the requirements for BIM capability as a pre-qualification criterion on larger projects.’

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“Almost a quarter of architects underemployed” – RIBA Future Trends Survey


Dezeen Wire:
almost a quarter of architects remain underemployed according to the the latest Future Trends Survey released by the Royal Institute of British Architects in London.

More RIBA Future Trends Surveys »

RIBA Future Trends Survey results for April 2011

The latest figures from the Royal Institute of British Architects’ (RIBA) monthly Future Trends Survey reveal how almost a quarter of architects remain underemployed, and 23% expect their workload to fall.

This month’s results highlight how more practices expected their workload to decrease, rising 4% from 19% in March to 23% in April. Practices of all sizes throughout the UK seem to remain in general very cautious about increasing their permanent staffing levels; the percentage of practices predicting a drop in staff levels rose from 12% in March to 16% in April, and those expecting staff levels to rise fell to 7% (8% in March). There has been no change in levels of underemployment; 26% of architects state that they are personally underemployed.

Both the private housing sector forecast (balance figure +9) and the commercial sector forecast (balance figure +1) remain in positive territory, but both have fallen back slightly this month in comparison with their levels in March 2011. The number of practices expecting a rise in private sector housing workload rose by 3% from 24% in March to 27% in April; the number of practices expecting less work grew from 13% in March to 18% in April. In the commercial sector, 18% of practices expected more work compared to 21% in March, whilst the number expecting a drop in workload fell by 1% to 17% (18% in March).

The public sector forecast (balance figure -22) continues to predict a declining workload; 31% of practices expected workload to drop compared to 26% in March, whilst 9% of practices expected a rise in public sector work in April, compared to 8% in March.

The statistical analysis of the survey enables the RIBA to regularly report on two key confidence tracking indices relating to future workloads and staffing levels. For April 2011, the RIBA Future Trends Workload Index remains at +8, and the RIBA Future Trends Staffing Index is -9 (compared to -4 in March 2011).

Adrian Dobson, RIBA Director of Practice said:

‘For the second consecutive month there has been no change in the overall RIBA Future Trends Workload Index, which remains at +8 in April 2011. It is of concern that the positive growth trend in this Index seen since December 2010 now appears to be somewhat running out of steam, with an increasing sense of uncertainty as to the future direction of travel for practice workloads. Practices in London (balance figure +18) and the South of England (balance figure +42) continue to be significantly more confident about their work prospects than those in the rest of the United Kingdom.

‘The RIBA Future Trends Staffing Index for April 2011 is -9, falling from -4 in March 2011. Practices of all sizes throughout the UK seem to remain in general very cautious about increasing their permanent staffing levels. However, there is now some indication of greater confidence about taking on more temporary staff; when asked about hiring intentions for temporary staff our practices returned a balance figure of +7.

‘Anecdotal evidence received this month focuses on a number of familiar issues, including delays and uncertainties in the planning system, intense fee competition and a general consensus that the situation remains very unpredictable which affects confidence amongst both architects and their clients. Many respondents have noted the importance of practice reputation, whether based on their local profile or areas of sector expertise, as being of great importance in maintaining workloads.’

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